Projected Truck Prices in One Year

Discussion in 'Ask An Owner Operator' started by AsphaltFarmer, Jan 10, 2023.

In 1 year will the price of a New, 500k, and 1mm truck be more than the current 416k?

  1. Higher

    21.4%
  2. Lower

    78.6%
  1. AsphaltFarmer

    AsphaltFarmer Medium Load Member

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    1. Truck paper search for Freightliner Cascadia.
    2. Sort by highest price and record the price.
    3. Refine with 500k minimum and record highest price.
    4. Refine with 1mm minimum and record highest price.

    In one year will the total for the same search be more or less?
    Screenshot_20230109-225912_Chrome.jpg Screenshot_20230109-230011_Chrome.jpg Screenshot_20230109-230117_Chrome.jpg Screenshot_20230109-230310_Calculator.jpg
     
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  3. Kenworth6969

    Kenworth6969 Road Train Member

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    Quarter million dollars for a Crapcadia.

    some good drugs people are on I tell ya.
     
  4. OLDSKOOLERnWV

    OLDSKOOLERnWV Captain Redbeard

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    Speaking of high rent….

    A74328C4-9D91-4465-94F5-A8ABF72910B4.jpeg EC856660-47FA-4682-A880-93BB5C78B7B7.jpeg
     
    Brettj3876 and fordconvert Thank this.
  5. Tb0n3

    Tb0n3 Road Train Member

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    OP seems to have forgotten what a bubble is. Lots of bubbles are bursting right now. Tesla stock and Home prices are just a small part.
     
  6. AsphaltFarmer

    AsphaltFarmer Medium Load Member

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    Pointing at a bubble and speculating as to when it will pop is somehow forgetting about bubbles, sure boss
     
  7. Tb0n3

    Tb0n3 Road Train Member

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    I'm just saying that the bubbles all seem to be popping. Everything's on a decline right now.
     
  8. NorthEastTrucker

    NorthEastTrucker Heavy Load Member

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    Whow, I paid $172,500 usd for my 2023 Peterbilt 567 and thought that was fairly high but understood during last years inflation increase. But $245k for a Cascadia? That's pushing it. I'm sure those prices should drop closer to the end of the year.
     
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  9. AsphaltFarmer

    AsphaltFarmer Medium Load Member

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    The reason I find this bubble fascinating is because the used truck prices rely on the new truck prices but they can also be disconnected. The megas still have a backlog of orders that they're trying to get filled, the manufacturers still have procurement issues so it's possible that the fleet ages of those megas won't come down as fast as some project and that can mean that there's less used on the market. From the other side Freight prices dropping you would think correlate to lower truck prices but if there's a still major Supply issue with the manufacturing of trucks is that when the bubble pops? I know everything is elevated but I think it's interesting and not as clear as it appears on the surface.
     
  10. Long FLD

    Long FLD Road Train Member

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    I can see the difference between new and used growing larger over the next year with the prices of new trucks staying fairly high simply because the demand for new is still there. Trucks are coming available due to cancellations but the few that are cancelling don’t really help the carriers who need to replace trucks in their fleet and are waiting for trucks to show up or trying to get build slots. People who need trucks are doing what they can to get them. I have a friend who ran all Peterbilt and he’s going to have 7 or 8 KW’s by the end of 2023 because that’s what he could get spots for. Prices on new will stay high until the demand is gone and dealers have trucks sitting on their lots.

    Even looking at Truckpaper, just doing a simple search for 2023 and newer there are only 34 W900’s, 46 T680’s, 56 389’s, and 34 579’s listed. That’s not many of someone is looking for new or nearly new.
     
    Siinman Thanks this.
  11. Siinman

    Siinman Road Train Member

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    I think the new price is gonna be the standard for a very long time. Unless freight drops off where no one can afford to buy new. Prices are still plenty good enough right now even though some people are freaking out still. Seems to be used trucks will come down a little more but not to much this year.
     
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